EIA expects Strait of Hormuz oil shipments to resume in Q3 2026, with full recovery to pre-war levels only in early 2027. Kalshi traders see 52% chance of normal traffic before Oct 1.
EIA now expects Strait of Hormuz oil shipments to resume in Q3 2026, but pre-war traffic levels won't return until early 2027. Kalshi traders disagree: 52% chance of normal traffic before Oct 1, 2026.
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