Prediction watch board
Jul 31, 12:00 AMSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?Event dateJul 31, 12:00 AMMike Johnson out as Speaker by...?Monitorable deadlineSep 30, 12:00 AMClaude 5 released by…?Monitorable deadlineNov 3, 12:00 AMCalifornia Governor Election WinnerEvent dateNov 3, 12:00 AMWhich party will win the Senate in 2026?Event dateNov 3, 12:00 AMBalance of Power: 2026 MidtermsEvent dateDec 9, 12:00 AMFed rate hike in 2026?Event dateDec 31, 12:00 AMECB rate hike in 2026?Event dateJul 31, 12:00 AMSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?Event dateJul 31, 12:00 AMMike Johnson out as Speaker by...?Monitorable deadlineSep 30, 12:00 AMClaude 5 released by…?Monitorable deadlineNov 3, 12:00 AMCalifornia Governor Election WinnerEvent dateNov 3, 12:00 AMWhich party will win the Senate in 2026?Event dateNov 3, 12:00 AMBalance of Power: 2026 MidtermsEvent dateDec 9, 12:00 AMFed rate hike in 2026?Event dateDec 31, 12:00 AMECB rate hike in 2026?Event date
ZettaWire/Products/Prediction Intelligence
Prediction Intelligence - watch board

When the source breaks, you see the price.

ZettaWire links future-dated Polymarket contracts to the real-world events that settle them. When monitored sources confirm the break, we stamp the observed bid/ask and publish the evidence through the Signals API.

Subscribe to alertsBrowse the boardAPI docs
Watched events
21
Watched contracts
77
Fresh price feeds
500100% fresh
prediction-markets/live-source-watch
watch board
Watch stateWatching live
Visible watch rows5
OutputNo confirmed break
No source-confirmed alert has firedWatch rows below are live market context only.
Jul 13, 10:41 PMpolymarketSOURCE OBSERVED
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
live market snapshot
YES 1c / NO 99c
source observedmap 90%src US Supreme Court Orders
Jul 13, 10:41 PMpolymarketWATCHING
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by July 31?
live market snapshot
YES 0.5c / NO 99.5c
no active monitormap 90%src U.S. House of Representatives
Jul 13, 10:41 PMpolymarketWATCHING
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
live market snapshot
YES 99.9c / NO 0.1c
no active monitormap 90%src Anthropic
Watched contracts
77
Watched events
21
Visible markets
77
Source mappings
3,131
Active source monitors
337
Confirmed breaks 24h
0

Watched markets.

Showing 1-21 of 21 watched eventswatch boardrefreshed Jul 13, 10:47 PM
ModeWatch board
Visible rowsMonitored markets
Confirmed breaks 24h0
DeliveryNo confirmed-break delivery
LegalpolymarketCloseactive source monitorTradeable Alert Eligible

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?

EVENT SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?CLOSE Jul 31, 12:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
1c
1c
No
99c
99c
LIQUIDITY $15,881MID 1c
US Supreme Court Orders
Why watching

Watching because US Supreme Court Orders is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-07-31T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:3657active monitored source strategy with supported category
Active monitorOpen event
PoliticspolymarketMonitorable deadlinemonitor inactiveTradeable Alert Eligible

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by July 31?

EVENT Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?CLOSE Jul 31, 12:00 PM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
0.2c
0.8c
No
99.3c
99.8c
LIQUIDITY $9,493MID 0.5c
Edge quote: 0.1c/99.9c style prices are venue quotes from the backend, not synthesized from missing data.
U.S. House of Representatives - monitor inactive
Why watching

Watching because U.S. House of Representatives is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-07-31T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:4761active monitored source strategy with supported category
Monitor inactiveOpen event
TechnologypolymarketMonitorable deadlinemonitor inactiveTradeable Alert Eligible

Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?

EVENT Claude 5 released by…?CLOSE Sep 30, 12:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
99.9c
100c
No
0c
0.1c
LIQUIDITY $52,530MID 99.9c
Edge quote: 0.1c/99.9c style prices are venue quotes from the backend, not synthesized from missing data.
Anthropic - monitor inactive
Why watching

Watching because Anthropic is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-09-30T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:124active monitored source strategy with supported category
Monitor inactiveOpen event
PoliticspolymarketClose+5 relatedactive source monitorTradeable Alert Eligible

Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?

EVENT California Governor Election WinnerCLOSE Nov 3, 12:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
0c
0.1c
No
99.9c
100c
LIQUIDITY $359,626MID 0.1c
Edge quote: 0.1c/99.9c style prices are venue quotes from the backend, not synthesized from missing data.
Maryland 2026 Primary Results
Why watching

Watching because Maryland 2026 Primary Results is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-11-03T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:4866active monitored source strategy with supported category
Active monitorOpen event
PoliticspolymarketClose+1 relatedactive source monitorTradeable Alert Eligible

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

EVENT Which party will win the Senate in 2026?CLOSE Nov 3, 12:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
55c
56c
No
44c
45c
LIQUIDITY $205,430MID 56c
Maryland 2026 Primary Results
Why watching

Watching because Maryland 2026 Primary Results is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-11-03T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:4448active monitored source strategy with supported category
Active monitorOpen event
PoliticspolymarketClose+4 relatedactive source monitorTradeable Alert Eligible

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

EVENT Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsCLOSE Nov 3, 12:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
14c
15c
No
85c
86c
LIQUIDITY $201,134MID 15c
Maryland 2026 Primary Results
Why watching

Watching because Maryland 2026 Primary Results is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-11-03T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:4462active monitored source strategy with supported category
Active monitorOpen event
MacropolymarketCloseactive source monitorTradeable Alert Eligible

Fed rate hike in 2026?

EVENT Fed rate hike in 2026?CLOSE Dec 9, 12:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
71c
72c
No
28c
29c
LIQUIDITY $55,630MID 72c
Federal Reserve
Why watching

Watching because Federal Reserve is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-12-08T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:283active monitored source strategy with supported category
Active monitorOpen event
MacropolymarketCloseactive source monitorTradeable Alert Eligible

ECB rate hike in 2026?

EVENT ECB rate hike in 2026?CLOSE Dec 31, 12:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
99.9c
100c
No
0c
0.1c
LIQUIDITY $9,176MID 99.9c
Edge quote: 0.1c/99.9c style prices are venue quotes from the backend, not synthesized from missing data.
ECB Press Releases RSS
Why watching

Watching because European Central Bank is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-12-16T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:3469active monitored source strategy with supported category
Active monitorOpen event
MacropolymarketCloseactive source monitorTradeable Alert Eligible

ECB rate cut in 2026?

EVENT ECB rate cut in 2026?CLOSE Dec 31, 12:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
15c
16c
No
84c
85c
LIQUIDITY $2,423MID 16c
ECB Press Releases RSS
Why watching

Watching because ECB Press Releases RSS is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-12-16T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:3692active monitored source strategy with supported category
Active monitorOpen event
GeopoliticspolymarketMonitorable deadlineactive source monitorTradeable Alert Eligible

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

EVENT Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?CLOSE Dec 31, 12:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
4c
4c
No
96c
96c
LIQUIDITY $811,147MID 4c
Taiwan MND PLA Activity Reports
Why watching

Watching because Taiwan MND PLA Activity Reports is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:3725active monitored source strategy with supported category
Active monitorOpen event
MacropolymarketClose+5 relatedactive source monitorTradeable Alert Eligible

Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

EVENT How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?CLOSE Dec 31, 12:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
0.1c
0.2c
No
99.8c
99.9c
LIQUIDITY $467,396MID 0.2c
Edge quote: 0.1c/99.9c style prices are venue quotes from the backend, not synthesized from missing data.
Federal Reserve
Why watching

Watching because Federal Reserve is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:141active monitored source strategy with supported category
Active monitorOpen event
GeopoliticspolymarketMonitorable deadlineactive source monitorTradeable Alert Eligible

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

EVENT Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?CLOSE Dec 31, 12:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
19c
20c
No
80c
81c
LIQUIDITY $339,064MID 20c
U.S. DoD Press Releases RSS
Why watching

Watching because U.S. DoD Press Releases RSS is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:3713active monitored source strategy with supported category
Active monitorOpen event
PoliticspolymarketCloseactive source monitorTradeable Alert Eligible

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

EVENT Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?CLOSE Dec 31, 12:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
4c
5c
No
95c
96c
LIQUIDITY $43,629MID 5c
US DOJ Press Releases
Why watching

Watching because US DOJ Press Releases is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:3669active monitored source strategy with supported category
Active monitorOpen event
GeopoliticspolymarketMonitorable deadlineactive source monitorTradeable Alert Eligible

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

EVENT China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?CLOSE Dec 31, 12:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
5c
6c
No
94c
95c
LIQUIDITY $36,882MID 6c
Taiwan MND PLA Activity Reports
Why watching

Watching because Taiwan MND PLA Activity Reports is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:3727active monitored source strategy with supported category
Active monitorOpen event
MacropolymarketCloseactive source monitorTradeable Alert Eligible

US recession by end of 2026?

EVENT US recession by end of 2026?CLOSE Jan 31, 12:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
10c
11c
No
89c
90c
LIQUIDITY $23,003MID 11c
BEA News
Why watching

Watching because BEA News is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:127active monitored source strategy with supported category
Active monitorOpen event
MacropolymarketClose+2 relatedactive source monitorTradeable Alert Eligible

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

EVENT What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?CLOSE Dec 31, 12:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
3c
3c
No
97c
97c
LIQUIDITY $15,124MID 3c
Federal Reserve
Why watching

Watching because Federal Reserve is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:236active monitored source strategy with supported category
Active monitorOpen event
TechnologypolymarketMonitorable deadlinemonitor inactiveTradeable Alert Eligible

AI bubble burst in 2026?

EVENT AI bubble burst by...?CLOSE Dec 31, 12:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
14c
14c
No
86c
86c
LIQUIDITY $12,854MID 14c
Anthropic - monitor inactive
Why watching

Watching because Anthropic is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:238active monitored source strategy with supported category
Monitor inactiveOpen event
GeopoliticspolymarketMonitorable deadlineactive source monitorTradeable Alert Eligible

Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?

EVENT How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?CLOSE Dec 31, 12:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
34c
35c
No
65c
66c
LIQUIDITY $12,171MID 35c
U.S. DoD Press Releases RSS
Why watching

Watching because U.S. DoD Press Releases RSS is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:3717active monitored source strategy with supported category
Active monitorOpen event
CompaniespolymarketMonitorable deadline+5 relatedactive source monitorTradeable Alert Eligible

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

EVENT IPOs before 2027?CLOSE Dec 31, 12:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
19c
20c
No
80c
81c
LIQUIDITY $8,582MID 20c
SEC EDGAR — OpenAI
Why watching

Watching because SEC EDGAR — OpenAI is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:3810active monitored source strategy with supported category
Active monitorOpen event
CompaniespolymarketMonitorable deadline+5 relatedactive source monitorTradeable Alert Eligible

Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?

EVENT Which companies will be acquired before 2027?CLOSE Dec 31, 12:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
17c
19c
No
81c
83c
LIQUIDITY $4,739MID 18c
SEC EDGAR — GitLab
Why watching

Watching because SEC EDGAR — GitLab is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:3754active monitored source strategy with supported category
Active monitorOpen event
CompaniespolymarketMonitorable deadlineactive source monitorTradeable Alert Eligible

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

EVENT Kraken IPO by ___ ?CLOSE Jan 1, 5:00 AM
Side
Bid
Ask
Yes
23c
26c
No
74c
77c
LIQUIDITY $4,617MID 25c
SEC EDGAR — Kraken (Payward)
Why watching

Watching because SEC EDGAR — Kraken (Payward) is mapped as an active source strategy for this contract. Next known source or market window: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z.

Why no alert

No public alert until a mapped source event satisfies the compiled contract predicate and price-at-break proof is captured.

Mapping confidence90%
Price feedJul 13, 10:41 PM
mapping:3774active monitored source strategy with supported category
Active monitorOpen event

Monitor the break as an API.

Base: api.zettawire.com-OpenAPI 3.1
Method
Path
Description
Tier
GET
/api/v1/prediction-markets/events
Public watched-market board with linked contracts, source chips, and current YES/NO price context.
Public
GET
/api/v1/prediction-markets/alert-opportunities
Public posted-alert proof rows with source, capture, current, and move evidence when a qualifying break exists.
Public
SSE
/api/v1/prediction-markets/prices/stream
Public board price-delta stream for live market context.
Public
GET
/v1/signals/prediction-markets/events
Entitled customer API feed with category, platform, and account watchlist filters.
Signals
GET
/v1/signals/prediction-markets/alerts
Entitled customer alert history with source, price, movement, and watchlist filter support.
Signals
SSE
/v1/signals/stream?scope=prediction_markets
Entitled real-time prediction_market.alert stream with optional watchlist_id filtering.
Signals
subscribe-alerts.ts
Node 20Example
# Stream customer prediction-market alert events.

curl "https://api.zettawire.com/v1/signals/stream?scope=prediction_markets&watchlist_id=$WATCHLIST_ID" \
  -H "x-api-key: $ZETTAWIRE_SIGNALS_API_KEY" \
  -H "Accept: text/event-stream"

event: prediction_market.alert
data: {
  "signal_id": "<signal_id>",
  "alert_opportunity_id": "<alert_opportunity_id>",
  "event_type": "prediction_market.alert",
  "source_name": "Official source",
  "yes_bid_at_capture": 0.61,
  "yes_ask_at_capture": 0.63,
  "yes_current_price": 0.72
}

Source-confirmed events, with auditable prices.

Every confirmed break includes the source, the capture timestamp, and the market price ZettaWire observed when the source crossed.

Claim inviteRead the docsv1.4 - prediction-markets scope
EVENT - CONFIRM - STAMP PRICE - PUBLISH

ZettaWire monitors source-confirmed events and market data. Treat the public-source watchboard and price-at-break proof as market repricing evidence, not as instructions to trade. It does not provide trading advice, recommend trades, route orders, custody funds, or guarantee exchange settlement outcomes. Alerts may be delayed, incomplete, incorrect, or superseded. Prediction-market prices are volatile and may not reflect true probabilities; users are responsible for their own trading decisions.